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STRONG HIRING OPTIMISM CONTINUES: Employers in Mainland China expected a significantly growing job market during Q2 2022

2022-03-22

SHANGHAI 22th MARCH 2022 - ManpowerGroup Greater China has launched its newest Employment Outlook Survey (hereinafter referred to as "MEOS")for Q2 2022. Data showed a great hiring bounceback continues, Employers in Mainland China expected a significantly growing job market during Q2 2022. The methodology used to collect the data for the Employment Outlook has been online versus respondents in prior quarters were contacted via telephone.

 

The great hiring bounce back continues, employers in mainland China expected a significantly growing job market during Q2 2022

 

For this report, MEOS surveyed 3,050 employers in Mainland China to understand the employment status of companies extending from April to June of 2022. 49% of the investigated employers anticipated an increase in hiring activity than the previous quarter, while 36% anticipated keep steady and 15% reported a decrease compared to the previous quarter. The Net Employment Outlook is (+28%) after seasonally adjusted analysis. ManpowerGroup Greater China stated that, with the pandemic gradually controlled, the survey shows that Workers in China can anticipate the NEO to grow by 2 percentage points compared to the previous quarter and grow by 20 points when compared to plans from Q2 2021.

 

Employers of the Northwestern provinces and Shanghai report the strongest hiring prospects among 12 regions and cities.

 

Organizations expect staffing environment increases for all the 12 regions and cities. With a NEO of 41, organizations in the Northwestern provinces and Shanghai expect the top performing staffing environment. Followed by Chengdu with a NEO of +38%, the city's hiring outlook remains strong for two consecutive quarters. With a NEO of +17%, organizations in Shenzhen expect the lowest-performing staffing climate.

 

According to the analysis by ManpowerGroup Greater China, demand for talent in Shanghai has increased significantly in recent months. In the past year, a series of pioneering reforms and leading opening-up measures in Shanghai have been successively launched and implemented, which has promoted the development of the local economy and the Yangtze River Delta region. To some extent, COVID-19, which is spreading in Hongkong China and Shenzhen, has constrained Shenzhen's economic development and employment market.

 

Q2 2022 Employment Outlook of 12 Regions and Cities

Net Employment Outlook (seasonally adjusted %)

1.jpg

 

Stronger hiring outlook is reported inthe Primary Production Sector.

 

Workforce gains are expected in all 11 of Mainland China’s industry sectors during the next three months. Reporting a NEO of 46, hiring managers in the Other Industry expect the strongest job market in the quarter from April to June 2022, and the followed is the Primary Production sector(45). Hiring managers are predicting a NEO of 28 in Construction for the next quarter, making it the sector with the worst-performing expected hiring pace.In this sector hiring managers expect hiring plans to worsen by -15 points quarter-on-quarter.

 

Q2 2022 Employment Outlook of 11Industry Sectors

Net Employment Outlook (seasonally adjusted %)

 2.jpg


Note:

1.    Primary Production sector includes Agriculture, Forestry and Fishing; Mining and Quarrying; Electricity; Gas and Air Conditioning Supply; Water Supply; Sewerage, Waste Management and Remediation Activities.

2.    Other Services sector includes:Professional, Scientific and Technical Activities; Administrative and Support Services; Other Service Activities.  

3.    Other Industry mainly refers to the industries other than the above-mentioned 10 major sectors. Respondents chose "other" or " Prefer not tosay " in the options.

4.    Where a number is asterixed (*) it is indicating a small sample size, and these numbers or comparisons should be treated as indicative only.

 

ManpowerGroup Greater China said, “The construction sector has entered a period of development centered on intelligent construction, and is changing from labor-intensive production methods to technology-intensive production methods,resulting in the industry's gradual reduction in its dependence on labor. In addition,the development of the sector is also affected by the downturn in the market,with the number of real estate regulation hitting a record high in 2021.”

 

It is worth mentioning that the development of modern agriculture ushered in new development opportunities. In order to accelerate the construction of ecological farms and promote the green and low-carbon transformation of agriculture, the Ministry of Agriculture and Rural Affairs recently issued the"Guiding Opinions on Promoting the Construction of Ecological Farms"(hereinafter referred to as the Opinions), proposing that by 2025, through scientific evaluation, tracking monitoring and guidance services, Build 1,000 national-level ecological farms across the country, and drive the construction of 10,000 local ecological farms in all provinces. This will further promote the development of primary production.

 

Steady hiring intentions are reportedby Large-size employers.

 

During the next quarter hiring decision makers plan for hiring environment gains for all four organization sizes. Large employers (+53%) expect the strongest hiring pace,while Micro employers (3%) forecast a flat hiring activity.

 

Q2 2022 Employment Outlook of 4 Organization Sizes

Net Employment Outlook (seasonally adjusted %)

3.jpg

 

Based on the survey findings, ManpowerGroup Greater China stated that looking forward to 2022, there is still great potential for economic development in mainland China, and the fundamentals of the long-term economic growth have not changed.As the economy shifts from a stage of high-speed growth to a stage ofhigh-quality development, it is particularly important to strengthen the skills upgrading and training of the workforce in terms of talent allocation and optimization, both for the government and enterprises.

 

Employers around the world are still expecting to grow payrolls.

 

ManpowerGroup surveyed a total of 41,379 employers in 40 countries and territories to measure employer hiring intentions for the second quarter of 2022. Based on seasonally adjusted analysis, employers surveyed in almost all countries and territories expect to grow payrolls in the upcoming quarter. Only employers in Greece expect to see a small decrease in payrolls. The strongest hiring plans for the next three months are reported in Brazil, Sweden, India, Mexico, and Colombia. The weakest hiring sentiment is reported in Greece, Poland, Japan, Taiwan China, and Romania.

 

APAC: In all 7 Asia Pacific countries and territories, employers expect to grow payrolls during the next three months. Hiring sentiment strengthens in 2 countries and territories quarter-on-quarter (Mainland China and Singapore)while weakening in 5. Compared with last year, Outlooks strengthen in 6 of the 7 countries and territories. Only Taiwan China saw expectations worsen since last year.  The strongest hiring prospects arereported in India, followed by Australia and Mainland China, while the weakest regional labor market is expected in Japan, with Taiwan China and Hong Kong China close behind.

 

North America: Both the U.S. (+35%) and Canada (+37%) expect strong hiring levels for Q2 2022. Canada sees a slightly stronger outlook than last quarter (+2 percentage points), while the U.S. shows a small decline for the second quarter (-6 percentage points). Hiring managers in both countries expect hiring to be significantly stronger compared to estimates year-on-year, +27percentage points in Canada and +16 in the U.S.

 

Central & South Americas: Workforce gains are forecast for all the 8 countries in South and Central America during the second quarter of 2022. Compared with the prior quarter, 7 countries see forecasts worsen while Panama shows a small increase. Since the prior year, hiring sentiment strengthens in all 8 countries. The strongest hiring plans in the region are reported in Brazil, followed by Colombia and Mexico. The weakest regional labor market is expected in Argentina.

 

EMEA: Payrolls are forecast to increase in 22 Europe, Middle East, and Africa(EMEA) region countries during the next three months, only Greek employers expect a small decrease. In a quarter-on-quarter analysis, hiring plans worsen in 20 countries while improving in 2 and staying steady in Belgium. When compared with one year ago, hiring sentiment improves in 20 and declines in only 3 countries, notably Greece, Poland, and Romania. The strongest regional hiring plans are reported in Sweden, Belgium, and the Netherlands, while employers make the weakest forecasts in Greece, Poland, and Romania.

 

To view complete results for the ManpowerGroup Employment Outlook Survey, visit: https://go.manpowergroup.com/meos. The next survey will be released in May 2022 and will report hiring expectations for the third quarter. With MEOS beginning in 1962, this year’s results mark the 60th consecutive year of the survey.

 

*Data was collected before the conflict in Ukraine, the impact of the conflict on hiring plans will show in the next MEOS report published on May 27. 

 

 

NOTES TO EDITORS

The methodology used to collect the data for the Employment Outlook has been digitized in 40 markets from the Q1 2022 report. Respondents in prior quarters were contacted via telephone and data is now being collected online.Respondents are members of double opt-in online panels and are incentivized to complete the survey. In line with standard findings of online surveys, more people are now taking a position – selecting that their workforce will either increase or decrease vs. no change. Because the Net Employment Outlook is based only on the people saying increase or decrease, the result of this higher leve lof engagement means the methodology shift may contribute to a higher Outlook.With a sample of 1,000 there is a margin of error of +/-3%. The question asked and the respondent profile remains unchanged. Size of organization and sector are standardized across all countries to allow international comparisons.

 

ABOUT THE SURVEY

The survey data was collected in January 2022. The Employment Outlook Survey is the most comprehensive, forward-looking employment survey of its kind, used globally as a key economic indicator. The Net Employment Outlook is derived by taking the percentage of employers anticipating an increase in hiring activity and subtracting from this the percentage of employers expecting a decrease in hiring activity.

 

ABOUT MANPOWERGROUP GREATER CHINA

 

ManpowerGroup Greater China Limited (Stock Code: 2180.HK) started its business in Hong Kong and Taiwan in 1997. Since that time, it has accelerated its market expansion and now provides services to its clients in over 160 cities in the Greater China markets and operates in more than 20 offices.ManpowerGroup Inc. (NYSE: MAN), our largest shareholder, is a world leader in workforce solutions and services-- with a long operating history of more than 70 years.

 

Empowered by the world-wide reputation and global perspectives of ManpowerGroup Inc., ManpowerGroup Greater China has rooted its operations inlocal markets across Greater China for over 20 years. In 2015, ManpowerGroup Greater China Limited and CITICPE established a strategic joint venture headquartered in Shanghai, to penetrate and accelerate business in Greater China. Through our service network of over 160 cities, we offer comprehensive and full range workforce solutions to more than 20,000 companies in the Greater China Region. On July 10th, 2019, ManpowerGroup Greater China listed on the Hong Kong Stock Exchange.

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